2022-2023 MODEL PREDICTION - SCHOOL SUMMARIES

 

The following contains all 50 boys' basketball teams used in the analysis for Gramp's prediction model.

Assumptions made in this model:

1. Schools were selected across all six Missouri classes (One through Six)

2. Approximately 25 schools were selected from the final four in each class. Most of these schools had good winning records.

3. Approximately 25 schools with average or losing records were selected to make the model more robust.

4. The school's rating was the last rating of the 2021-2022 school year (which is my initial rating for 2022-2023).  All opponent ratings were also based on the 2021-2022 Gramp's final ratings.

5. Actual spread is the teams points minus the points against.  The predicted spread is the team's rating minus the opponent's final rating for 2021-2022.

6. Predicted wins were totaled from positively predicted spreads.  Losses were totaled from negative spreads.  Ties were considered wins.

7. Teams are listed in no particular order.  You will just have to scroll through to find your team.









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